Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.013804 0.016042 0.018513 0.021443 0.024818 0.028585 0.033105
2026-01-11 0.010121 0.012917 0.016288 0.020645 0.026120 0.032767 0.041443
2026-01-18 0.007879 0.010907 0.014847 0.020334 0.027760 0.037446 0.051023
2026-01-25 0.006208 0.009238 0.013455 0.019728 0.028792 0.041379 0.060151
2026-02-01 0.005045 0.008010 0.012396 0.019314 0.029906 0.045456 0.069953
2026-02-08 0.004215 0.007100 0.011607 0.019102 0.031191 0.049846 0.080707
2026-02-15 0.003511 0.006246 0.010740 0.018589 0.031871 0.053321 0.090429
2026-02-22 0.003173 0.005932 0.010677 0.019340 0.034643 0.060387 0.106739
2026-03-01 0.002768 0.005425 0.010199 0.019287 0.036011 0.065250 0.119916
2026-03-08 0.002340 0.004801 0.009413 0.018551 0.036036 0.067754 0.129219
2026-03-15 0.002054 0.004399 0.008969 0.018371 0.037028 0.072050 0.142212
2026-03-22 0.001936 0.004312 0.009112 0.019333 0.040300 0.080902 0.164740
2026-03-29 0.001776 0.004116 0.009021 0.019838 0.042781 0.088632 0.186236
2026-04-05 0.001540 0.003718 0.008454 0.019272 0.043006 0.091958 0.199393
2026-04-12 0.001368 0.003432 0.008084 0.019071 0.043966 0.096877 0.216414
2026-04-19 0.001196 0.003118 0.007601 0.018548 0.044146 0.100173 0.230382
2026-04-26 0.001057 0.002861 0.007213 0.018181 0.044620 0.104139 0.246262
2026-05-03 0.000948 0.002658 0.006920 0.017993 0.045472 0.109021 0.264746
2026-05-10 0.000837 0.002431 0.006532 0.017516 0.045566 0.112179 0.279620
2026-05-17 0.000797 0.002390 0.006611 0.018227 0.048670 0.122711 0.313130
2026-05-24 0.000726 0.002250 0.006409 0.018180 0.049851 0.128776 0.336535
2026-05-31 0.000636 0.002040 0.005988 0.017485 0.049263 0.130435 0.349219
2026-06-07 0.000577 0.001911 0.005771 0.017316 0.050047 0.135619 0.371440